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The Pharmagellan Guide to Biotech Forecasting and Valuation, by Frank S. David MD PhD, Seth Robey PhD, Andrew Matthews MD
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If you're a biotech executive, investor, deal maker, entrepreneur, or adviser—or aspire to be one—then you need to build and analyze forecasts and valuations of R&D-stage drugs. This book is for you.
- "Deserves a spot on the bookshelf of every biotech CFO." — Bruce Booth, Partner, Atlas Venture
- "A helpful and insightful resource for anyone who finds themselves staring at a blank Excel spreadsheet." — Adam Feuerstein, Senior Columnist, TheStreet.com
- "This is the book I wish I'd had when I started out." — Vin Milano, CEO, Idera Pharmaceuticals
- "Invaluable, rigorously detailed, and well validated." — John Sullivan, Director of Equity Research, Leerink Partners
- Vetted benchmarks for key drivers of income, expenses, and valuation.
- Proprietary analyses by Pharmagellan's experienced consulting team.
- Over 150 current references from peer-reviewed research, industry white papers, and SEC filings.
Whether you're making investment decisions, pitching to potential partners or funders, or assessing your own R&D program, this is the one-stop guide you need by your side.
- "A fantastic plain-English guide to building a valuation model for a biotech product or portfolio. If you’re trying to develop a reasonable view of the value of your program or your company—and a view that will appear reasonable to the folks across the table—this beautiful book breaks it down for you." — Michael Gilman, serial biotech CEO (Stromedix, Padlock Therapeutics)
- "Does an excellent job of defining the inputs that go into modeling, explains how they can be forecasted, and shows how it all ties together. I’d recommend it to anyone looking to better understand one of the most difficult sides of this business." — Brad Loncar, CEO, Loncar Investments
- "Clear, well-written, and very useful in our mission to better serve our patients." — Jim Geraghty, Chairman of the Board of Directors, Idera Pharmaceuticals
- "A great explanation of the inputs and assumptions for biotech models, and how to think about them. I highly recommend it, both to people who build the models and people like me who have to look at them." — Briggs Morrison, CEO, Syndax Pharmaceuticals
- Sales Rank: #336283 in Books
- Published on: 2017-01-04
- Original language: English
- Dimensions: 9.00" h x .35" w x 6.00" l,
- Binding: Paperback
- 138 pages
About the Author
Frank S. David, MD, PhD, is the founder and managing director of the biotech consultancy Pharmagellan (www.pharmagellan.com), an academic researcher and author on life sciences R&D, commercialization, and strategy, and a blogger about biomedical innovation at Forbes.com. He also maintains an active presence on Twitter (@Frank_S_David). Seth Robey, PhD, and Andrew Matthews, MD, are former and current associate consultants, respectively, at Pharmagellan.
Most helpful customer reviews
4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Thoroughly researched and well organized
By Doug Martin
Read book cover to cover the day I received it. The book is organized very well and provides an excellent structure and guide for those new to the field as well as interesting benchmarks and data for the more experienced and seasoned.
I highly recommend for buy and sell-side analysts seeking to refine their own valuations or understand others, consultants who conduct pipeline commercial assessments or conduct diligence/ support licensing & partnerships, and those in in-line business/corporate development and their internal customers in senior management and on the Board.
I am impressed by how the authors managed to concisely review materials in a way that is useful to the aforementioned varied stakeholders and experience sets. I plan to keep it nearby as relevant issues surface and to purchase for others to help ensure a structured approach built on the valuation principles and data outlined.
1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Probably the most useful biotech forecasting tool aside from my HP12c
By Smartypants
Finally. A practical guide to valuation in biotech. If you're looking to figure out whether you should use IRR or NPV or how to build that NPV spreadsheet, this is not the book for you. You don't have to be an expert number cruncher but the book assumes a basic financial knowledge and understanding of general valuation concepts. This is why the book is so useful. Models are only as good as what goes into them. David, who clearly has deep industry experience, does a fantastic job of framing a process for thinking through key assumptions including revenue size and growth and development and commercialization costs. Equally useful are commonly used benchmarks for these assumptions (of course only to be used in absence of any other knowledge). The book is to be used "just in time" and doesn't require you read it beginning to end.
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By ams
Short, concise, and rich in relevant information
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